01
Forecast from real receipts
The likely arrival is the expected date plus the supplier's own average lateness over the last six months.
Late Delivery Ahead
The purchase order is due tomorrow. This supplier is never on time.
Expected dates come from the supplier's promise, not their record. Otiox forecasts when each purchase order due this week will really arrive — from that supplier's own receipts — names the production and customer orders that need it sooner, and moves the expected date in one confirmed step.
app.otiox.comFig. 00
Predictive · late delivery
Likely arrives five days late
Forecast from the supplier's own receipts
SignalValueWhen
Receipts late4 of 6Last 6 months
Average lateness5 daysPer receipt
Build waiting1 orderBefore forecast
Production and a customer order depend on it
Recommended
Move the expected arrival to the forecast date — previewed, then confirmed.
Plans and promises use the date the goods will really arrive.
01Le Défi
Planned on the promise, built on the reality.
Production and customer dates are planned against the date the supplier gave. If that supplier usually delivers days late, every plan built on it is wrong — and nobody learns until the goods do not arrive.
- 01Expected dates copied from the supplier's promise
- 02Late history ignored when planning
- 03Production finds out on the day
- 04Customers hear about the delay last
02À VOIR DANS OTIOX
La même situation, dans le produit.
De vrais écrans de l'espace de démonstration Otiox, étape par étape.
- 01
See the forecast
The card shows the supplier's record, the forecast date, and the production and customer orders that depend on the purchase order — with a button to move its expected arrival.
03
Comment Ça Marche
Des fonctionnalités conçues pour résoudre exactement ces problèmes.
02
Only when it matters
A forecast is raised only when the supplier has enough receipts and a real share of them were late.
03
Who is affected
The card lists the manufacturing orders that use the items and the customer orders behind them, flagging those needed before the forecast date.
04
Move the date
One button moves the purchase order's expected arrival to the forecast date, after a preview — and it can be reverted.
05
No drifting
A date the engine already moved is not forecast again from itself.
04
Ce Que Vous Gagnerez
Des améliorations tangibles qui impactent votre résultat.
- 01Plans on realistic dates
Production and promises use the date the goods will really arrive.
- 02Days of warning
Orders due within a week are checked before they are late.
- 03Customers told early
You know which customer orders are affected while there is time to act.
- 04Honest by design
No forecast without enough supplier history.
05
Scénarios Concrets
Voyez comment cela fonctionne en pratique.
Scénario 1
Chronically late supplier
Four of six receipts arrived late, five days on average; tomorrow's order is forecast five days out.
Scénario 2
Build waiting on parts
A manufacturing order needs the boards before the forecast date.
Scénario 3
Customer promise at stake
The sales order behind that build is named on the card.
06
La Transformation
Du chaos à la clarté.
Avant
- Supplier's promise taken as fact
- Delay discovered on the day
- Production replans in a rush
- Customer told last
Après
- Arrival forecast from history
- Affected orders named
- Expected date moved in one step
- Customer told early
07
Questions Fréquentes
Réponses rapides aux questions courantes.
01How is the arrival date forecast?
From the supplier's own receipts over the last 180 days: the expected date plus their average days late per receipt. On-time or early receipts count as zero.
02Which purchase orders are checked?
Open, sent purchase orders (not drafts) due within the next seven days, by default.
03When is no forecast raised?
When the supplier has fewer than five receipts, or not more than a fifth of them were late. Without enough history Otiox says nothing rather than guess.
04Can I undo the date change?
Yes. The change is previewed before it runs and has a matching revert action.
Late Delivery Ahead
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